Correlation Group Equilibrium Analysis

Generated on: 2025-06-13 00:46:34

Analysis Summary

This report provides an analysis of whether correlation groups are seeking equilibrium (mean-reverting) versus trending.

A high equilibrium score indicates the group is likely in a mean-reversion phase, suggesting potential reversal trades.

A high trend score indicates the group is likely in a trending phase, suggesting potential trend-following trades.

Total Groups
5
Equilibrium-Seeking Groups
4 (5 pairs)
Trending Groups
1 (32 pairs)

Overall Group Market Assessment

Current Market Status: Trending

5 pairs (13.5%) show equilibrium-seeking behavior

32 pairs (86.5%) show trending behavior

Group 1 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
44.5
44.5%
Trend Score
55.29
55.29%
Agreement Score
100.0%
Pairs Count
32

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Trending

Divergence Detected: Leaders showing different behavior than the overall group. This may indicate leaders could split away or the group dynamics may change soon.

Final Assessment

High Agreement Group Following Leaders: While currently Equilibrium-Seeking, this group has a very high agreement score (100.0%). Expect the group to follow the leaders and shift toward a Trending state soon.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
USD_CHF 57.22 37.22 Early Mean Reversion: Initial Support Break Trending
USD_JPY 56.84 32.05 Early Mean Reversion: Initial Support Break Trending
GBP_CAD 55.22 44.78 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
EUR_CAD 54.58 44.44 Early Mean Reversion: Initial Support Break Trending
GBP_USD 48.48 39.49 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
CAD_CHF 48.48 46.87 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
NZD_CAD 48.48 45.96 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
NZD_USD 48.48 45.96 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
NZD_CHF 47.92 46.53 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
EUR_USD 47.58 45.05 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
EUR_JPY 47.58 45.96 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
EUR_CHF 47.37 46.2 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
GBP_CHF 47.37 46.2 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
AUD_CHF 47.37 46.2 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
AUD_CAD 47.37 46.2 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
CAD_JPY 47.37 47.08 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
AUD_USD 47.02 45.63 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
GBP_JPY 46.84 46.74 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
AUD_JPY 46.84 46.74 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
NZD_JPY 46.84 46.74 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
EUR_SEK 42.22 66.67 Breakout Phase: Initial Break Trending
USD_PLN 39.53 64.1 Continuation Breakouts: Range Break Trending
GBP_NZD 37.04 79.63 Breakout Phase: First Resistance Test Trending
EUR_AUD 37.04 79.63 Institutional Activity: Absorption Phase Trending
USD_ZAR 36.67 78.44 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending
GBP_AUD 36.31 80.16 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending
USD_CAD 35.9 69.66 Breakout Phase: First Resistance Test Trending
EUR_NZD 35.63 75.1 Distribution Phase: Active Distribution Trending
USD_MXN 35.19 72.22 Breakout Phase: Initial Break Trending
USD_SGD 35.19 64.81 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending
USD_SEK 34.67 70.89 Continuation Breakouts: Range Break Trending
CHF_JPY 33.33 75.93 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending

Group 0 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
58.01
58.01%
Trend Score
24.08
24.08%
Agreement Score
50.0%
Pairs Count
2

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Trending

Divergence Detected: Leaders showing different behavior than the overall group. This may indicate leaders could split away or the group dynamics may change soon.

Final Assessment

Low Agreement Group: Despite trending leaders, the low agreement score (50.0%) suggests the group will remain Equilibrium-Seeking. Leaders may eventually split to join trending groups.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
USD_HKD 62.67 13.56 Extreme Conditions: Momentum Capitulation Equilibrium-Seeking
EUR_PLN 53.35 34.59 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending

Group 2 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
47.58
47.58%
Trend Score
40.4
40.4%
Agreement Score
100.0%
Pairs Count
1

Dominant Market Phases

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
EUR_NOK 47.58 40.4 Early Mean Reversion: Initial Support Break Trending

Group 3 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
48.67
48.67%
Trend Score
39.22
39.22%
Agreement Score
100.0%
Pairs Count
1

Dominant Market Phases

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
EUR_GBP 48.67 39.22 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending

Group 4 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
49.32
49.32%
Trend Score
44.1
44.1%
Agreement Score
100.0%
Pairs Count
1

Dominant Market Phases

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
AUD_NZD 49.32 44.1 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending