Correlation Group Equilibrium Analysis

Generated on: 2025-04-25 23:20:59

Analysis Summary

This report provides an analysis of whether correlation groups are seeking equilibrium (mean-reverting) versus trending.

A high equilibrium score indicates the group is likely in a mean-reversion phase, suggesting potential reversal trades.

A high trend score indicates the group is likely in a trending phase, suggesting potential trend-following trades.

Total Groups
5
Equilibrium-Seeking Groups
5 (61 pairs)
Trending Groups
0 (0 pairs)

Overall Group Market Assessment

Current Market Status: Equilibrium-Seeking

61 pairs (100.0%) show equilibrium-seeking behavior

0 pairs (0.0%) show trending behavior

Group 0 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
56.81
56.81%
Trend Score
41.81
41.81%
Agreement Score
57.14%
Pairs Count
49

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Trending

Divergence Detected: Leaders showing different behavior than the overall group. This may indicate leaders could split away or the group dynamics may change soon.

Final Assessment

Low Agreement Group: Despite trending leaders, the low agreement score (57.14%) suggests the group will remain Equilibrium-Seeking. Leaders may eventually split to join trending groups.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
EUR_SGD 80.83 32.22 Mean Reversion Resolution: Pre-Breakout - Directional Bias Formation Equilibrium-Seeking
EUR_HKD 77.08 23.61 Extreme Conditions: Oversold Breakdown Equilibrium-Seeking
GBP_SGD 76.81 24.15 Mean Reversion Resolution: Pre-Breakout - Directional Bias Formation Equilibrium-Seeking
AUD_CAD 71.78 23.11 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Equilibrium-Seeking
USD_HUF 67.95 21.9 Transition: Support Test Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
SGD_CHF 67.55 21.46 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Equilibrium-Seeking
EUR_AUD 67.31 20.67 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
EUR_USD 67.22 21.11 Extreme Conditions: Oversold Breakdown Equilibrium-Seeking
AUD_HKD 67.06 32.74 Mid-Trend: Bearish Flag Formation Equilibrium-Seeking
EUR_JPY 66.67 37.04 Mid-Trend: Bearish Flag Formation Equilibrium-Seeking
GBP_USD 65.56 33.33 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Equilibrium-Seeking
CHF_HKD 65.56 51.11 Mean Reversion Resolution: Pre-Breakout - Directional Bias Formation Equilibrium-Seeking
GBP_AUD 65.28 20.33 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Equilibrium-Seeking
NZD_CAD 64.17 24.17 Active Mean Reversion: Accumulation Leg Equilibrium-Seeking
USD_THB 63.98 30.46 Transition: Support Test Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
EUR_NZD 63.89 36.11 Active Mean Reversion: Accumulation Leg Equilibrium-Seeking
NZD_SGD 63.35 40.49 Mean Reversion Resolution: Pre-Breakout - Directional Bias Formation Equilibrium-Seeking
USD_SGD 62.96 55.56 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Equilibrium-Seeking
EUR_HUF 62.68 28.09 Transition: Support Test Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
USD_CHF 62.12 23.48 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Equilibrium-Seeking
GBP_HKD 60.59 31.78 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Equilibrium-Seeking
USD_CNH 59.91 37.24 Mean Reversion Resolution: Transition to New Momentum - Early Signs Trending
USD_MXN 58.5 32.35 Transition: Support Test Failure Trending
USD_NOK 55.56 61.11 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
GBP_CAD 54.44 35.56 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
AUD_JPY 54.17 55.56 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
USD_PLN 53.39 33.6 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
AUD_USD 53.33 37.22 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
ZAR_JPY 53.1 45.42 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
EUR_GBP 52.71 54.01 Mean Reversion Resolution: Transition to New Momentum - Early Signs Trending
EUR_CAD 52.57 30.08 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Trending
GBP_CHF 52.54 32.97 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
NZD_USD 52.08 43.4 Active Mean Reversion: Accumulation Leg Trending
HKD_JPY 51.67 58.89 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending
USD_JPY 51.67 58.89 Transition to Mean Reversion: Loss of Momentum Trending
USD_SEK 48.61 56.25 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
GBP_ZAR 48.4 45.09 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
EUR_ZAR 48.4 45.09 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
CHF_ZAR 48.04 45.42 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
SGD_JPY 47.47 57.07 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending
CAD_SGD 47.22 67.95 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
EUR_CHF 46.3 35.19 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
USD_HKD 44.05 53.97 Breakout Phase: Initial Break Trending
CAD_JPY 42.91 56.7 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending
NZD_HKD 42.28 70.05 Breakout Phase: First Resistance Test Trending
CAD_CHF 40.4 57.58 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
AUD_NZD 39.53 69.87 Breakout Phase: Initial Break Trending
AUD_SGD 37.82 67.95 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
AUD_CHF 36.23 71.5 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending

Group 1 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
52.26
52.26%
Trend Score
38.75
38.75%
Agreement Score
66.67%
Pairs Count
6

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Important Signal: Leaders are Mixed while the group is Trending

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Mixed

Final Assessment

Weakly Aligned Group: While the group and leaders are both equilibrium-seeking, the lower agreement score (66.67%) suggests some pairs may deviate from the group behavior. Monitor for potential splintering.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
GBP_JPY 69.33 32.67 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
USD_CAD 61.51 15.48 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Equilibrium-Seeking
NZD_JPY 58.77 27.19 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
USD_ZAR 47.8 41.09 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
CHF_JPY 39.46 54.98 Transition to Mean Reversion: Loss of Momentum Trending
CAD_HKD 36.67 61.11 Breakout Phase: Initial Break Trending

Group 4 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
58.28
58.28%
Trend Score
24.93
24.93%
Agreement Score
50.0%
Pairs Count
2

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Trending

Divergence Detected: Leaders showing different behavior than the overall group. This may indicate leaders could split away or the group dynamics may change soon.

Final Assessment

Low Agreement Group: Despite trending leaders, the low agreement score (50.0%) suggests the group will remain Equilibrium-Seeking. Leaders may eventually split to join trending groups.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
NZD_CHF 61.26 20.57 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Equilibrium-Seeking
GBP_NZD 55.3 29.29 Mid-Trend: Bearish Flag Formation Trending

Group 3 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
66.34
66.34%
Trend Score
32.47
32.47%
Agreement Score
100.0%
Pairs Count
2

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Final Assessment

Strong Aligned Group: This is a highly cohesive Equilibrium-Seeking group with a strong agreement score (100.0%). Both the group and its leaders are aligned, indicating a reliable and stable equilibrium-seeking pattern.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
EUR_PLN 69.5 33.69 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
GBP_PLN 63.19 31.25 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Equilibrium-Seeking

Group 2 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
66.66
66.66%
Trend Score
37.44
37.44%
Agreement Score
50.0%
Pairs Count
2

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Important Signal: Leaders are Trending while the group is Equilibrium-Seeking

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Trending

Divergence Detected: Leaders showing different behavior than the overall group. This may indicate leaders could split away or the group dynamics may change soon.

Final Assessment

Low Agreement Group: Despite trending leaders, the low agreement score (50.0%) suggests the group will remain Equilibrium-Seeking. Leaders may eventually split to join trending groups.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
EUR_SEK 78.79 19.19 Extreme Conditions: Oversold Breakdown Equilibrium-Seeking
EUR_NOK 54.52 55.68 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending