Correlation Group Equilibrium Analysis

Generated on: 2025-04-25 00:06:44

Analysis Summary

This report provides an analysis of whether correlation groups are seeking equilibrium (mean-reverting) versus trending.

A high equilibrium score indicates the group is likely in a mean-reversion phase, suggesting potential reversal trades.

A high trend score indicates the group is likely in a trending phase, suggesting potential trend-following trades.

Total Groups
5
Equilibrium-Seeking Groups
2 (3 pairs)
Trending Groups
3 (58 pairs)

Overall Market Assessment

Current Market Status: Trending

3 pairs (4.9%) show equilibrium-seeking behavior

58 pairs (95.1%) show trending behavior

Group 0 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
48.41
48.41%
Trend Score
48.33
48.33%
Agreement Score
91.43%
Pairs Count
35

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Trending

Divergence Detected: Leaders showing different behavior than the overall group. This may indicate leaders could split away or the group dynamics may change soon.

Final Assessment

High Agreement Group Following Leaders: While currently Equilibrium-Seeking, this group has a very high agreement score (91.43%). Expect the group to follow the leaders and shift toward a Trending state soon.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
GBP_PLN 64.81 25.93 Mid-Trend: Bearish Flag Formation Equilibrium-Seeking
USD_MXN 62.09 26.8 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
GBP_CHF 60.27 44.08 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
EUR_NZD 59.22 28.11 Transition: Support Test Failure Trending
USD_CHF 57.94 32.99 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Trending
CHF_JPY 57.8 28.42 Transition: Support Test Failure Trending
CAD_CHF 57.64 34.38 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Trending
AUD_SGD 57.25 54.83 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
USD_HKD 56.92 34.01 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
GBP_NZD 56.84 33.01 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Trending
AUD_NZD 56.54 27.78 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
NZD_JPY 54.02 52.87 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
EUR_AUD 52.08 46.53 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
SGD_CHF 52.08 34.38 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Trending
EUR_HUF 50.54 40.68 Extreme Conditions: Momentum Capitulation Trending
GBP_SGD 50.51 58.59 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
CAD_SGD 50.13 44.57 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
AUD_CHF 48.83 50.58 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
AUD_USD 47.78 56.22 Initial Thrust: Alternative Thrust Trending
NZD_CAD 47.01 56.84 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
NZD_CHF 46.14 57.0 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
NZD_HKD 45.63 57.94 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
NZD_SGD 43.06 55.56 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
EUR_CHF 41.67 63.89 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
GBP_CAD 41.45 60.68 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
NZD_USD 41.45 56.84 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
AUD_JPY 40.74 50.0 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
AUD_HKD 40.74 57.41 Initial Thrust: Alternative Thrust Trending
EUR_GBP 39.39 61.87 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
GBP_USD 38.89 64.81 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
EUR_NOK 38.89 46.3 Distribution Phase: Active Distribution Trending
AUD_CAD 36.51 65.08 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
GBP_HKD 33.33 64.81 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
CHF_HKD 33.33 64.81 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
GBP_JPY 32.67 53.11 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending

Group 1 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
49.72
49.72%
Trend Score
39.78
39.78%
Agreement Score
88.89%
Pairs Count
18

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Trending

Divergence Detected: Leaders showing different behavior than the overall group. This may indicate leaders could split away or the group dynamics may change soon.

Final Assessment

High Agreement Group Following Leaders: While currently Equilibrium-Seeking, this group has a very high agreement score (88.89%). Expect the group to follow the leaders and shift toward a Trending state soon.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
USD_JPY 63.07 26.8 Transition: Support Test Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
HKD_JPY 62.78 27.11 Transition: Support Test Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
USD_NOK 58.39 24.94 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
USD_SGD 57.22 26.11 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
USD_CAD 56.92 28.46 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
CAD_JPY 56.84 27.46 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Trending
SGD_JPY 52.94 27.78 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Trending
USD_PLN 51.67 32.67 Transition: Support Test Failure Trending
USD_THB 51.36 26.42 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Trending
USD_HUF 51.28 32.05 Transition: Support Test Failure Trending
EUR_SEK 51.28 27.46 Transition: Support Test Failure Trending
USD_SEK 50.98 32.35 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
EUR_SGD 42.68 58.59 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
CAD_HKD 40.08 65.28 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
EUR_USD 38.89 64.81 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
EUR_HKD 38.89 64.81 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
EUR_CAD 38.89 64.81 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
EUR_PLN 30.81 58.08 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending

Group 4 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
44.91
44.91%
Trend Score
43.87
43.87%
Agreement Score
100.0%
Pairs Count
5

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Trending

Divergence Detected: Leaders showing different behavior than the overall group. This may indicate leaders could split away or the group dynamics may change soon.

Final Assessment

High Agreement Group Following Leaders: While currently Equilibrium-Seeking, this group has a very high agreement score (100.0%). Expect the group to follow the leaders and shift toward a Trending state soon.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
ZAR_JPY 58.22 32.67 Transition: Support Test Failure Trending
USD_ZAR 55.22 25.56 Mean Reversion Resolution: Pre-Breakout - Directional Bias Formation Trending
GBP_ZAR 40.74 53.7 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
CHF_ZAR 35.19 53.7 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
EUR_ZAR 35.19 53.7 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending

Group 3 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
54.78
54.78%
Trend Score
41.1
41.1%
Agreement Score
50.0%
Pairs Count
2

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Trending

Divergence Detected: Leaders showing different behavior than the overall group. This may indicate leaders could split away or the group dynamics may change soon.

Final Assessment

Low Agreement Group: Despite trending leaders, the low agreement score (50.0%) suggests the group will remain Equilibrium-Seeking. Leaders may eventually split to join trending groups.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
USD_CNH 67.68 16.92 Gap Fill with Reversal Equilibrium-Seeking
EUR_JPY 41.87 65.28 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending

Group 2 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
52.94
52.94%
Trend Score
39.87
39.87%
Agreement Score
100.0%
Pairs Count
1

Dominant Market Phases

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
GBP_AUD 52.94 39.87 Transition: Support Test Failure Trending