Correlation Group Equilibrium Analysis

Generated on: 2025-04-24 00:05:35

Analysis Summary

This report provides an analysis of whether correlation groups are seeking equilibrium (mean-reverting) versus trending.

A high equilibrium score indicates the group is likely in a mean-reversion phase, suggesting potential reversal trades.

A high trend score indicates the group is likely in a trending phase, suggesting potential trend-following trades.

Total Groups
5
Equilibrium-Seeking Groups
3 (5 pairs)
Trending Groups
2 (56 pairs)

Overall Market Assessment

Current Market Status: Trending

5 pairs (8.2%) show equilibrium-seeking behavior

56 pairs (91.8%) show trending behavior

Group 2 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
42.88
42.88%
Trend Score
40.67
40.67%
Agreement Score
90.74%
Pairs Count
54

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Trending

Divergence Detected: Leaders showing different behavior than the overall group. This may indicate leaders could split away or the group dynamics may change soon.

Final Assessment

High Agreement Group Following Leaders: While currently Equilibrium-Seeking, this group has a very high agreement score (90.74%). Expect the group to follow the leaders and shift toward a Trending state soon.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
AUD_CHF 65.7 16.43 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Equilibrium-Seeking
GBP_PLN 63.13 35.86 Mean Reversion Resolution: Transition to New Momentum - Early Signs Equilibrium-Seeking
USD_SGD 62.22 14.13 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Equilibrium-Seeking
USD_MXN 61.43 24.79 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
ZAR_JPY 60.42 21.53 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Equilibrium-Seeking
CAD_JPY 55.56 25.16 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Trending
AUD_JPY 54.86 15.97 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Trending
USD_NOK 53.33 21.11 Mean Reversion Resolution: Transition to New Momentum - Early Signs Trending
HKD_JPY 51.36 23.92 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
CAD_CHF 51.36 29.48 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Trending
USD_JPY 51.36 23.92 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
USD_ZAR 50.0 25.16 Mean Reversion Resolution: Pre-Breakout - Directional Bias Formation Trending
USD_CAD 49.36 24.79 Transition: Support Test Failure Trending
SGD_CHF 48.61 27.02 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Trending
USD_HUF 48.07 25.24 Active Mean Reversion: Accumulation Leg Trending
AUD_NZD 48.07 20.77 Transition: Support Test Failure Trending
USD_SEK 47.78 25.56 Active Mean Reversion: Accumulation Leg Trending
EUR_NZD 47.57 24.65 Transition: Support Test Failure Trending
USD_PLN 47.28 26.0 Active Mean Reversion: Accumulation Leg Trending
SGD_JPY 46.22 24.7 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Trending
USD_CHF 45.49 29.86 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Trending
GBP_NZD 45.42 32.35 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Trending
GBP_CHF 44.44 41.83 Initial Thrust: Alternative Thrust Trending
USD_THB 44.44 23.33 Active Mean Reversion: Accumulation Leg Trending
NZD_SGD 44.44 50.0 Mean Reversion Resolution: Transition to New Momentum - Volume Return Trending
CAD_SGD 43.96 53.62 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
NZD_CAD 43.96 57.0 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
GBP_SGD 43.96 51.45 Distribution Phase: Active Distribution Trending
AUD_SGD 42.86 53.17 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
CHF_JPY 40.74 44.44 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
GBP_HKD 39.88 50.79 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
GBP_CAD 39.39 55.3 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
GBP_USD 39.08 53.26 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
GBP_ZAR 38.89 48.15 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
NZD_JPY 38.13 57.58 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
CAD_HKD 38.1 54.37 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
AUD_CAD 37.72 61.7 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
EUR_AUD 37.71 46.69 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
AUD_USD 36.23 51.45 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
EUR_CHF 35.42 62.85 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
EUR_SGD 35.19 46.3 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
EUR_CAD 34.33 54.37 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
EUR_GBP 34.33 54.37 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
EUR_ZAR 33.52 47.7 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
CHF_HKD 33.52 53.26 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending
CHF_ZAR 32.54 48.81 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
NZD_HKD 32.54 48.81 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
NZD_USD 32.26 51.28 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
EUR_HKD 31.48 51.85 Distribution Phase: Active Distribution Trending
EUR_USD 30.08 53.26 Continuation Breakouts: Range Break Trending
EUR_NOK 27.78 61.11 Continuation Breakouts: Range Break Trending
AUD_HKD 26.39 47.92 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
GBP_JPY 24.15 54.59 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
NZD_CHF 23.61 67.22 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending

Group 0 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
47.6
47.6%
Trend Score
44.37
44.37%
Agreement Score
66.67%
Pairs Count
3

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Trending

Divergence Detected: Leaders showing different behavior than the overall group. This may indicate leaders could split away or the group dynamics may change soon.

Final Assessment

Low Agreement Group: Despite trending leaders, the low agreement score (66.67%) suggests the group will remain Equilibrium-Seeking. Leaders may eventually split to join trending groups.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
USD_HKD 65.82 27.42 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Equilibrium-Seeking
EUR_HUF 40.0 46.67 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
EUR_PLN 36.98 59.03 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending

Group 1 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
47.37
47.37%
Trend Score
44.4
44.4%
Agreement Score
100.0%
Pairs Count
2

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Trending

Divergence Detected: Leaders showing different behavior than the overall group. This may indicate leaders could split away or the group dynamics may change soon.

Final Assessment

High Agreement Group Following Leaders: While currently Equilibrium-Seeking, this group has a very high agreement score (100.0%). Expect the group to follow the leaders and shift toward a Trending state soon.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
USD_CNH 56.92 26.42 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
EUR_JPY 37.82 62.39 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending

Group 3 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
45.73
45.73%
Trend Score
44.12
44.12%
Agreement Score
100.0%
Pairs Count
1

Dominant Market Phases

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
GBP_AUD 45.73 44.12 Transition: Support Test Failure Trending

Group 4 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
28.5
28.5%
Trend Score
60.39
60.39%
Agreement Score
100.0%
Pairs Count
1

Dominant Market Phases

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
EUR_SEK 28.5 60.39 Continuation Breakouts: Range Break Trending