Correlation Group Equilibrium Analysis

Generated on: 2025-06-13 00:03:23

Analysis Summary

This report provides an analysis of whether correlation groups are seeking equilibrium (mean-reverting) versus trending.

A high equilibrium score indicates the group is likely in a mean-reversion phase, suggesting potential reversal trades.

A high trend score indicates the group is likely in a trending phase, suggesting potential trend-following trades.

Total Groups
5
Equilibrium-Seeking Groups
2 (2 pairs)
Trending Groups
3 (35 pairs)

Overall Market Assessment

Current Market Status: Trending

2 pairs (5.4%) show equilibrium-seeking behavior

35 pairs (94.6%) show trending behavior

Group 0 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
46.81
46.81%
Trend Score
43.51
43.51%
Agreement Score
94.74%
Pairs Count
19

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Trending

Divergence Detected: Leaders showing different behavior than the overall group. This may indicate leaders could split away or the group dynamics may change soon.

Final Assessment

High Agreement Group Following Leaders: While currently Equilibrium-Seeking, this group has a very high agreement score (94.74%). Expect the group to follow the leaders and shift toward a Trending state soon.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
GBP_AUD 64.29 26.19 Mean Reversion Resolution: Transition to New Momentum - Early Signs Equilibrium-Seeking
USD_ZAR 57.33 24.7 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Trending
AUD_USD 54.25 46.08 Breakout Phase: First Resistance Test Trending
USD_MXN 54.17 30.21 Transition: Support Test Failure Trending
EUR_NOK 52.67 32.67 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Trending
AUD_CAD 51.36 27.44 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
GBP_NZD 50.67 34.67 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
NZD_CAD 48.69 51.63 Breakout Phase: First Resistance Test Trending
USD_JPY 46.53 31.25 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
AUD_JPY 46.3 46.3 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
EUR_SEK 45.3 49.36 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
CHF_JPY 44.95 56.31 Initial Thrust: Alternative Thrust Trending
NZD_USD 44.44 55.56 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending
GBP_JPY 41.87 43.25 Continuation Breakouts: Range Break Trending
EUR_CHF 40.74 51.85 Continuation Breakouts: Range Break Trending
CAD_JPY 40.74 46.3 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
EUR_JPY 37.12 56.31 Initial Thrust: Early FOMO Phase Trending
NZD_JPY 35.19 50.0 Continuation Breakouts: Range Break Trending
USD_HKD 32.78 66.67 Institutional Activity: Absorption Phase Trending

Group 2 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
50.56
50.56%
Trend Score
39.88
39.88%
Agreement Score
100.0%
Pairs Count
10

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Trending

Divergence Detected: Leaders showing different behavior than the overall group. This may indicate leaders could split away or the group dynamics may change soon.

Final Assessment

High Agreement Group Following Leaders: While currently Equilibrium-Seeking, this group has a very high agreement score (100.0%). Expect the group to follow the leaders and shift toward a Trending state soon.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
USD_SEK 57.94 31.97 Transition: Support Test Failure Trending
USD_PLN 57.94 31.97 Transition: Support Test Failure Trending
USD_SGD 57.64 25.69 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
USD_CAD 54.17 30.21 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
AUD_NZD 52.08 31.25 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
EUR_CAD 51.63 48.69 Breakout Phase: First Resistance Test Trending
USD_CHF 49.36 28.42 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
EUR_GBP 47.22 50.0 Breakout Phase: First Resistance Test Trending
GBP_USD 40.48 58.73 Continuation Breakouts: Range Break Trending
EUR_USD 37.12 61.87 Initial Thrust: Early FOMO Phase Trending

Group 1 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
51.54
51.54%
Trend Score
36.4
36.4%
Agreement Score
100.0%
Pairs Count
6

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Trending

Divergence Detected: Leaders showing different behavior than the overall group. This may indicate leaders could split away or the group dynamics may change soon.

Final Assessment

High Agreement Group Following Leaders: While currently Equilibrium-Seeking, this group has a very high agreement score (100.0%). Expect the group to follow the leaders and shift toward a Trending state soon.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
CAD_CHF 56.92 28.46 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
NZD_CHF 55.9 27.44 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
GBP_CHF 55.56 27.78 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
AUD_CHF 55.56 28.76 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
EUR_AUD 43.65 53.17 Breakout Phase: First Resistance Test Trending
EUR_NZD 41.67 52.78 Breakout Phase: First Resistance Test Trending

Group 3 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
63.89
63.89%
Trend Score
21.53
21.53%
Agreement Score
100.0%
Pairs Count
1

Dominant Market Phases

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
GBP_CAD 63.89 21.53 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Equilibrium-Seeking

Group 4 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
47.42
47.42%
Trend Score
65.28
65.28%
Agreement Score
100.0%
Pairs Count
1

Dominant Market Phases

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
EUR_PLN 47.42 65.28 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending