Correlation Group Equilibrium Analysis

Generated on: 2025-04-24 08:20:57

Analysis Summary

This report provides an analysis of whether correlation groups are seeking equilibrium (mean-reverting) versus trending.

A high equilibrium score indicates the group is likely in a mean-reversion phase, suggesting potential reversal trades.

A high trend score indicates the group is likely in a trending phase, suggesting potential trend-following trades.

Total Groups
5
Equilibrium-Seeking Groups
5 (61 pairs)
Trending Groups
0 (0 pairs)

Overall Market Assessment

Current Market Status: Equilibrium-Seeking

61 pairs (100.0%) show equilibrium-seeking behavior

0 pairs (0.0%) show trending behavior

Group 0 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
49.5
49.5%
Trend Score
44.01
44.01%
Agreement Score
84.09%
Pairs Count
44

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Trending

Divergence Detected: Leaders showing different behavior than the overall group. This may indicate leaders could split away or the group dynamics may change soon.

Final Assessment

Moderate Agreement with Divergence: Group is Equilibrium-Seeking with moderate cohesion (84.09%). Some pairs may follow the trending leaders, but the group is likely to maintain its overall equilibrium-seeking character.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
CAD_HKD 71.53 23.61 Post-Breakdown: Initial Stabilization Equilibrium-Seeking
GBP_SGD 69.7 29.29 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
EUR_GBP 65.28 20.14 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
GBP_HKD 63.35 33.01 Transition: Support Test Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
USD_ZAR 61.45 38.1 Initial Thrust: Alternative Thrust Equilibrium-Seeking
EUR_AUD 61.11 21.11 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
SGD_JPY 60.68 30.13 Mid-Trend: Bearish Flag Formation Equilibrium-Seeking
EUR_SGD 59.46 40.31 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Trending
GBP_USD 58.39 33.69 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Trending
EUR_ZAR 56.18 30.92 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
CHF_ZAR 55.56 25.0 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
CHF_HKD 53.9 30.5 Transition: Support Test Failure Trending
USD_CNH 53.57 38.89 Active Mean Reversion: Accumulation Leg Trending
USD_HKD 53.03 27.02 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
EUR_HKD 52.94 33.33 Transition: Support Test Failure Trending
EUR_CAD 52.54 32.97 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
EUR_USD 52.38 34.01 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
EUR_NZD 52.22 34.44 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Trending
CAD_SGD 51.92 54.98 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
EUR_NOK 51.77 49.29 Mean Reversion Resolution: Transition to New Momentum - Early Signs Trending
CHF_JPY 51.57 32.7 Transition: Support Test Failure Trending
EUR_JPY 51.36 32.99 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
NZD_JPY 50.19 49.43 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending
GBP_JPY 50.0 50.0 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending
USD_PLN 44.79 50.35 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending
EUR_SEK 44.72 54.72 Breakout Phase: First Resistance Test Trending
ZAR_JPY 44.44 50.0 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending
AUD_JPY 44.44 44.44 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
USD_CAD 44.22 52.67 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
CAD_JPY 44.22 48.67 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
USD_SEK 43.65 52.38 Initial Thrust: Alternative Thrust Trending
GBP_CHF 43.38 60.68 Distribution Phase: Early Distribution with Low Volume Trending
USD_NOK 42.68 67.42 Continuation Breakouts: Range Break Trending
AUD_CHF 42.59 48.15 Distribution Phase: Early Distribution with Low Volume Trending
USD_SGD 41.67 61.71 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
CAD_CHF 41.58 56.09 Distribution Phase: Early Distribution with Low Volume Trending
USD_HUF 40.74 40.74 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
NZD_CHF 38.41 64.73 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
HKD_JPY 38.1 54.37 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
USD_JPY 38.1 54.37 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
SGD_CHF 36.67 66.11 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending
USD_CHF 35.19 59.26 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
EUR_CHF 34.41 59.32 Distribution Phase: Early Distribution with Low Volume Trending
EUR_PLN 33.97 64.32 Breakout Phase: Initial Break Trending

Group 2 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
62.92
62.92%
Trend Score
29.55
29.55%
Agreement Score
75.0%
Pairs Count
12

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Important Signal: Leaders are Mixed while the group is Equilibrium-Seeking

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Mixed

Final Assessment

Moderately Aligned Group: This Equilibrium-Seeking group shows good cohesion (75.0%) with aligned leaders. The equilibrium-seeking pattern should persist in the near term.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
NZD_SGD 73.23 30.3 Extreme Conditions: Oversold Breakdown Equilibrium-Seeking
AUD_HKD 70.83 26.74 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Equilibrium-Seeking
USD_MXN 68.03 28.46 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Equilibrium-Seeking
GBP_AUD 67.87 38.65 Mean Reversion Resolution: Pre-Breakout - Directional Bias Formation Equilibrium-Seeking
NZD_CAD 67.22 12.5 Extreme Conditions: Oversold Breakdown Equilibrium-Seeking
AUD_USD 64.44 26.67 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Equilibrium-Seeking
AUD_SGD 63.95 28.13 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
NZD_HKD 62.7 19.84 Active Mean Reversion: Accumulation Leg Equilibrium-Seeking
NZD_USD 62.7 18.65 Active Mean Reversion: Accumulation Leg Equilibrium-Seeking
AUD_CAD 58.68 27.78 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Trending
GBP_NZD 57.33 41.37 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
USD_THB 38.1 55.56 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending

Group 1 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
61.3
61.3%
Trend Score
28.93
28.93%
Agreement Score
66.67%
Pairs Count
3

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Final Assessment

Weakly Aligned Group: While the group and leaders are both equilibrium-seeking, the lower agreement score (66.67%) suggests some pairs may deviate from the group behavior. Monitor for potential splintering.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
GBP_ZAR 67.01 26.98 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Equilibrium-Seeking
GBP_CAD 58.81 25.75 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
AUD_NZD 58.09 34.06 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Trending

Group 4 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
42.22
42.22%
Trend Score
48.89
48.89%
Agreement Score
100.0%
Pairs Count
1

Dominant Market Phases

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
EUR_HUF 42.22 48.89 Distribution Phase: Early Distribution Trending

Group 3 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
33.33
33.33%
Trend Score
62.96
62.96%
Agreement Score
100.0%
Pairs Count
1

Dominant Market Phases

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
GBP_PLN 33.33 62.96 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending