Correlation Group Equilibrium Analysis

Generated on: 2025-06-13 00:39:03

Analysis Summary

This report provides an analysis of whether correlation groups are seeking equilibrium (mean-reverting) versus trending.

A high equilibrium score indicates the group is likely in a mean-reversion phase, suggesting potential reversal trades.

A high trend score indicates the group is likely in a trending phase, suggesting potential trend-following trades.

Total Groups
5
Equilibrium-Seeking Groups
5 (37 pairs)
Trending Groups
0 (0 pairs)

Overall Market Assessment

Current Market Status: Equilibrium-Seeking

37 pairs (100.0%) show equilibrium-seeking behavior

0 pairs (0.0%) show trending behavior

Group 1 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
55.22
55.22%
Trend Score
38.91
38.91%
Agreement Score
79.17%
Pairs Count
24

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Trending

Divergence Detected: Leaders showing different behavior than the overall group. This may indicate leaders could split away or the group dynamics may change soon.

Final Assessment

Moderate Agreement with Divergence: Group is Equilibrium-Seeking with moderate cohesion (79.17%). Some pairs may follow the trending leaders, but the group is likely to maintain its overall equilibrium-seeking character.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
NZD_CHF 74.31 31.25 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
AUD_CAD 66.67 21.11 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
AUD_NZD 64.51 39.57 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Equilibrium-Seeking
AUD_JPY 63.49 28.46 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Equilibrium-Seeking
GBP_JPY 62.09 26.14 Transition: Support Test Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
USD_SEK 58.96 24.38 Transition: Support Test Failure Trending
USD_JPY 58.96 31.97 Transition: Support Test Failure Trending
CAD_CHF 58.39 37.12 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
AUD_CHF 58.39 31.56 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
CAD_JPY 58.22 32.67 Transition: Support Test Failure Trending
USD_SGD 57.64 32.29 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
USD_CHF 57.64 32.29 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
NZD_JPY 56.54 26.14 Initial Thrust: Alternative Thrust Trending
GBP_CHF 56.22 26.11 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
EUR_SEK 55.56 23.2 Transition: Support Test Failure Trending
USD_PLN 52.67 26.11 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
EUR_PLN 51.36 38.55 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
GBP_USD 48.47 51.53 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
USD_ZAR 47.78 46.67 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending
EUR_AUD 45.3 67.95 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
EUR_CAD 44.64 66.09 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
EUR_NZD 43.19 64.87 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending
EUR_USD 43.19 65.59 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
EUR_GBP 40.97 62.15 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending

Group 2 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
51.34
51.34%
Trend Score
49.82
49.82%
Agreement Score
83.33%
Pairs Count
6

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Trending

Divergence Detected: Leaders showing different behavior than the overall group. This may indicate leaders could split away or the group dynamics may change soon.

Final Assessment

Moderate Agreement with Divergence: Group is Equilibrium-Seeking with moderate cohesion (83.33%). Some pairs may follow the trending leaders, but the group is likely to maintain its overall equilibrium-seeking character.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
NZD_USD 63.89 54.72 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Equilibrium-Seeking
EUR_NOK 59.72 31.44 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
USD_CAD 57.94 32.99 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
AUD_USD 52.78 54.04 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
EUR_JPY 38.1 63.49 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
CHF_JPY 35.63 62.26 Initial Thrust: Alternative Thrust Trending

Group 0 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
54.93
54.93%
Trend Score
41.76
41.76%
Agreement Score
60.0%
Pairs Count
5

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Important Signal: Leaders are Equilibrium-Seeking while the group is Trending

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Final Assessment

Weakly Aligned Group: While the group and leaders are both equilibrium-seeking, the lower agreement score (60.0%) suggests some pairs may deviate from the group behavior. Monitor for potential splintering.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
NZD_CAD 66.41 27.02 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
GBP_CAD 65.01 38.18 Transition: Support Test Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
GBP_NZD 59.46 38.18 Mean Reversion Resolution: Pre-Breakout - Directional Bias Formation Trending
GBP_AUD 52.84 38.18 Mean Reversion Resolution: Pre-Breakout - Directional Bias Formation Trending
USD_HKD 30.95 67.26 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending

Group 3 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
50.63
50.63%
Trend Score
31.76
31.76%
Agreement Score
100.0%
Pairs Count
1

Dominant Market Phases

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
USD_MXN 50.63 31.76 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending

Group 4 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
60.86
60.86%
Trend Score
34.85
34.85%
Agreement Score
100.0%
Pairs Count
1

Dominant Market Phases

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
EUR_CHF 60.86 34.85 Mid-Trend: Bearish Flag Formation Equilibrium-Seeking