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USD_CAD Analysis

Last: 1.38552 | Change: -0.00061 | Date: 2025-04-25 | Current Time: 2025-04-25 23:18:31 UTC

Phase: Mean Reversion > Early Mean Reversion > Distribution To Range > Controlled Selling > Controlled Selling > Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling 100.0%

View Price & Volume Chart

Market State

Market State

Trend: Downtrend (Strong)
RSI: 44.10 (Neutral)
Volume: Declining (Low)
Volatility: 0.1045 (Low)
Price Action: Engulfing
Price Structure: Sideways
Momentum: -0.0006 (Weak)
ATR: 0.0014
NATR: 0.1045
Trend Alignment: Yes

Phase Analysis

Current Phase: Mean Reversion > Early Mean Reversion > Distribution To Range > Controlled Selling

Confidence: 100.0%

Stage: Controlled Selling

Detail: Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling

Higher Timeframe Phase

HTF Phase: Mean Reversion > Early Mean Reversion > Failed Momentum > Volume Failure

Confidence: 100.0%

Stage: Volume Failure

Alignment with Current Phase: Significant Conflict (-55 pts)

Current Category: Reversal

HTF Category: Continuation

Market Metrics

Trend: Down (Strong)

RSI: 44.1 (Neutral)

Volume: Declining (Low)

Volatility: 0.1045 (High)

Candlestick Patterns:

Bearish Candle⚠️ High Market Indecision (0.62)Bearish Engulfing

Support & Resistance

Current Price: 1.3855

Resistance Levels

1.3866 Strong (0.08% away)
1.3908 Strong (0.38% away)
1.3982 Strong (0.92% away)

Support Levels

1.3853 Strong (0.02% away)
1.3840 Strong (0.11% away)
1.3796 Strong (0.43% away)

Mean Reversion Signals

Mean Reversion SHORT Signal @ 1.38552

Generated: 2025-04-25 23:18

Confidence: 86.4%

Risk:Reward: 1.55

Entry: 1.38552

Stop Loss: 1.38938

Target: 1.37955

Valid until: 2025-04-26 02:18

Contributing Factors

  • Current phase: Mean Reversion > Early Mean Reversion > Distribution To Range > Controlled Selling
  • Reversal phase detected - favorable for mean reversion
  • Bearish patterns: bearish_engulfing, bearish_engulfing, lower_highs_pattern
  • Negative momentum: -11.3
  • Stricter: Penalty for trending/mixed/low-indecision market (-10 confidence)
  • Market indecision favorable for mean reversion

Market Phase

Phase: Mean Reversion > Early Mean Reversion > Distribution To Range > Controlled Selling

Confidence: 100.0%