NZD_SGD Analysis

Last: 0.78418 | Change: 0.00006 | Date: 2025-04-25 | Current Time: 2025-04-25 23:18:31 UTC

Phase: Mean Reversion > Extreme Conditions > Oversold Breakdown > Oversold Breakdown > Extreme Conditions: Oversold Breakdown 60.0%

Market State

Market State

Trend: Downtrend (Strong)
RSI: 48.52 (Neutral)
Volume: Declining (Low)
Volatility: 0.1179 (Low)
Price Action: Doji
Price Structure: Higher Highs & Lows
Momentum: 0.0001 (Weak)
ATR: 0.0009
NATR: 0.1179
Trend Alignment: Yes

Phase Analysis

Current Phase: Mean Reversion > Extreme Conditions > Oversold Breakdown

Confidence: 60.0%

Stage: Oversold Breakdown

Detail: Extreme Conditions: Oversold Breakdown

Description: Extreme oversold conditions with strong downward momentum

Higher Timeframe Phase

HTF Phase: Mid Trend > Uptrend Consolidation > Bullish Flag

Confidence: 80.0%

Stage: Bullish Flag

Alignment with Current Phase: Significant Conflict (-55 pts)

Current Category: Reversal

HTF Category: Continuation

Market Metrics

Trend: Down (Strong)

RSI: 48.5 (Neutral)

Volume: Declining (Low)

Volatility: 0.1179 (High)

Candlestick Patterns:

Bullish Candle

Support & Resistance

Current Price: 0.7842

Resistance Levels

0.7865 Strong (0.30% away)
0.7879 Strong (0.47% away)
0.7848 Strong (0.07% away)

Support Levels

0.7774 Strong (0.86% away)
0.7752 Strong (1.15% away)
0.7820 Strong (0.28% away)

Mean Reversion Signals

Mean Reversion SHORT Signal @ 0.78418

Generated: 2025-04-25 23:18

Confidence: 78.1%

Risk:Reward: 3.15

Entry: 0.78418

Stop Loss: 0.78633

Target: 0.77740

Valid until: 2025-04-26 02:18

Contributing Factors

  • Current phase: Mean Reversion > Extreme Conditions > Oversold Breakdown
  • Reversal phase detected - favorable for mean reversion
  • Stricter: Penalty for trending/mixed/low-indecision market (-10 confidence)
  • Market indecision favorable for mean reversion

Market Phase

Phase: Mean Reversion > Extreme Conditions > Oversold Breakdown

Confidence: 60.0%