NZD_HKD Analysis

Last: 4.62856 | Change: 0.00162 | Date: 2025-04-25 | Current Time: 2025-04-25 23:18:31 UTC

Phase: Momentum > Transition Phases > Momentum To Mean Reversion > Support Test Failure > Support Test Failure > Transition: Support Test Failure 71.4%

Market State

Market State

Trend: Downtrend (Weak)
RSI: 47.88 (Neutral)
Volume: Rising (Normal)
Volatility: 0.1602 (Low)
Price Action: Normal
Price Structure: Sideways
Momentum: 0.0017 (Strong)
ATR: 0.0074
NATR: 0.1602
Trend Alignment: No

Phase Analysis

Current Phase: Momentum > Transition Phases > Momentum To Mean Reversion > Support Test Failure

Confidence: 71.4%

Stage: Support Test Failure

Detail: Transition: Support Test Failure

Higher Timeframe Phase

HTF Phase: Mid Trend > Uptrend Consolidation > Bullish Flag

Confidence: 80.0%

Stage: Bullish Flag

Alignment with Current Phase: Aligned (+5 pts)

Current Category: Continuation

HTF Category: Continuation

Market Metrics

Trend: Down (Weak)

RSI: 47.9 (Neutral)

Volume: Rising (Normal)

Volatility: 0.1602 (High)

Candlestick Patterns:

Bullish Candle

Support & Resistance

Current Price: 4.6286

Resistance Levels

4.6665 Strong (0.82% away)
4.6543 Strong (0.56% away)
4.6558 Strong (0.59% away)

Support Levels

4.6141 Strong (0.31% away)
4.6100 Strong (0.40% away)

Mean Reversion Signals

Mean Reversion LONG Signal @ 4.62856

Generated: 2025-04-25 23:18

Confidence: 94.6%

Risk:Reward: 1.60

Entry: 4.62856

Stop Loss: 4.60491

Target: 4.66648

Valid until: 2025-04-26 02:18

Contributing Factors

  • Current phase: Momentum > Transition Phases > Momentum To Mean Reversion > Support Test Failure
  • Reversal phase detected - favorable for mean reversion
  • Bullish patterns: higher_lows_pattern
  • Positive momentum: 13.6
  • Confirming bullish phase bias (+10 confidence)
  • Market indecision favorable for mean reversion

Market Phase

Phase: Momentum > Transition Phases > Momentum To Mean Reversion > Support Test Failure

Confidence: 71.4%