USD_ZAR Analysis

Last: 18.71112 | Change: 0.00164 | Date: 2025-04-24

Phase: Momentum > Early Momentum > Breakout Phase > First Resistance Test > First Resistance Test > Breakout Phase: First Resistance Test 80.0%

Market State

Market State

Trend: Uptrend (Strong)
RSI: 60.30 (Neutral)
Volume: Stable (Normal)
Volatility: 0.2798 (High)
Price Action: Doji
Price Structure: Sideways
Momentum: 0.0018 (Strong)
ATR: 0.0524
NATR: 0.2798
Trend Alignment: Yes

Phase Analysis

Current Phase: Momentum > Early Momentum > Breakout Phase > First Resistance Test

Confidence: 80.0%

Stage: First Resistance Test

Detail: Breakout Phase: First Resistance Test

Description: Testing the resistance after the initial breakout.

Daily Timeframe

Phase: Mean Reversion > Mean Reversion Resolution > Consolidation > Pre Breakout > Directional Bias Formation

Confidence: 80.0%

Stage: Directional Bias Formation

Description: A bias for the next move begins to emerge.

Alignment with Current Phase: Significant Conflict (-60 pts)

Current Category: Continuation

Daily Category: Reversal

H4 Timeframe

Phase: Momentum > Early Momentum > Initial Thrust > Alternative Thrust

Confidence: 60.0%

Stage: Alternative Thrust

Description: This branch captures bullish short-term moves with high RSI and lower volume ratio, even when long-term trend is weak.

Alignment with Current Phase: Aligned (+5 pts)

Current Category: Continuation

H4 Category: Continuation

Market Metrics

Trend: Up (Strong)

RSI: 60.3 (Neutral)

Volume: Stable (Normal)

Volatility: 0.2798 (High)

Support & Resistance

Current Price: 18.7111

Resistance Levels

18.7970 Strong (0.46% away)

Support Levels

18.4949 Strong (1.16% away)
18.5526 Strong (0.85% away)

Trade Setups

Early Momentum Breakout

LONG

Confidence: 0.0%

Daily Timeframe Context

Phase: Mean Reversion

Phase Alignment: Significant Conflict (-60 pts)

Setup Alignment: Neutral (+0 pts)

Current Category: Continuation
Daily Category: Reversal

H4 Timeframe Context

Phase: Momentum

Phase Alignment: Aligned (+5 pts)

Setup Alignment: Neutral (+0 pts)

Current Category: Continuation
H4 Category: Continuation

Group Equilibrium Context

Group 4 Follower

Current State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Agreement Score: 80.0%

Group Alignment: Severe Conflict (-35 pts)
Setup direction conflicts with group behavior

Expected Behavior: Equilibrium-Seeking
Likely Outcome: Partial Change