HKD_JPY Analysis

Last: 18.52850 | Change: 0.01004 | Date: 2025-04-25

Phase: Mid Trend > Uptrend Consolidation > Bullish Flag > Bullish Flag > Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation 80.0%

Market State

Market State

Trend: Uptrend (Strong)
RSI: 59.30 (Neutral)
Volume: Declining (Low)
Volatility: 0.1989 (Normal)
Price Action: Normal
Price Structure: Higher Highs & Lows
Momentum: 0.0092 (Strong)
ATR: 0.0368
NATR: 0.1989
Trend Alignment: Yes

Phase Analysis

Current Phase: Mid Trend > Uptrend Consolidation > Bullish Flag

Confidence: 80.0%

Stage: Bullish Flag

Detail: Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation

Daily Timeframe

Phase: Momentum > Transition Phases > Momentum To Mean Reversion > Support Test Failure

Confidence: 100.0%

Stage: Support Test Failure

Alignment with Current Phase: Significant Conflict (-60 pts)

Current Category: Continuation

Daily Category: Reversal

H4 Timeframe

Phase: Momentum > Late Momentum > Distribution Phase > Early Distribution Low Volume

Confidence: 80.0%

Stage: Early Distribution

Description: Early distribution phase with declining volume, indicating potential exhaustion.

Alignment with Current Phase: Aligned (+5 pts)

Current Category: Continuation

H4 Category: Continuation

Market Metrics

Trend: Up (Strong)

RSI: 59.3 (Neutral)

Volume: Declining (Low)

Volatility: 0.1989 (High)

Support & Resistance

Current Price: 18.5285

Resistance Levels

18.5410 Strong (0.07% away)
18.5684 Strong (0.22% away)

Support Levels

18.3376 Strong (1.03% away)
18.2377 Strong (1.57% away)

Trade Setups

Mid Momentum Continuation

LONG

Confidence: 38.1%

Daily Timeframe Context

Phase: Momentum

Phase Alignment: Aligned (+8 pts)

Setup Alignment: Neutral (+0 pts)

Current Category: Continuation
Daily Category: Continuation

H4 Timeframe Context

Phase: Momentum

Phase Alignment: Aligned (+5 pts)

Setup Alignment: Neutral (+0 pts)

Current Category: Continuation
H4 Category: Continuation

Group Equilibrium Context

Group 0 Follower

Current State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Agreement Score: 69.2%

Group Alignment: Moderate Conflict (-15 pts)
Setup direction conflicts with group behavior

Expected Behavior: Equilibrium-Seeking
Likely Outcome: May Fragment