GBP_JPY Analysis

Last: 199.21200 | Change: -0.08200 | Date: 2025-07-08

Phase: Momentum > Mid Momentum > Steady Trend > Higher Highs Lows Uptrend > Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) > Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) 82.4%

Market State

Trend: Uptrend (Strong)

RSI: 66.13 (Neutral)

Volume: Rising (Normal)

Volatility: 0.1395 (Normal)

Price Action: Normal

Price Structure: Higher Highs & Lows

Momentum: -0.0860 (Strong)

ATR: 0.2778

NATR: 0.1395

Trend Alignment: Yes

Enhanced Volume Analysis

Phase Analysis

Current Phase: Momentum > Mid Momentum > Steady Trend > Higher Highs Lows Uptrend

Confidence: 82.4%

Stage: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend)

Detail: Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend)

Description: An established uptrend with rising lows and highs.

Daily Timeframe

Phase: Momentum > Early Momentum > Initial Thrust > Alternative Thrust

Confidence: 60.0%

Stage: Alternative Thrust

Description: This branch captures bullish short-term moves with high RSI and lower volume ratio, even when long-term trend is weak.

Alignment with Current Phase: Aligned (+8 pts)

Current Category: Continuation

Daily Category: Continuation

H4 Timeframe

Phase: Momentum > Early Momentum > Initial Thrust > Alternative Thrust

Confidence: 60.0%

Stage: Alternative Thrust

Description: This branch captures bullish short-term moves with high RSI and lower volume ratio, even when long-term trend is weak.

Alignment with Current Phase: Aligned (+5 pts)

Current Category: Continuation

H4 Category: Continuation

Market Metrics

Trend: Up (Strong)

RSI: 66.1 (Neutral)

Volume: Rising (Normal)

Volatility: 0.1395 (High)

Support & Resistance

Current Price: 199.2120

Resistance Levels

199.4820 Strong (0.14% away)

Support Levels

196.7910 Strong (1.22% away)

Trade Setups

Early Momentum Breakout

LONG

Confidence: 78.5%

Daily Timeframe Context

Phase: Momentum

Phase Alignment: Aligned (+8 pts)

Setup Alignment: Aligned (+14 pts)
Matching: Mid Momentum Continuation

Current Category: Continuation
Daily Category: Continuation

H4 Timeframe Context

Phase: Momentum

Phase Alignment: Aligned (+5 pts)

Setup Alignment: Neutral (+0 pts)

Current Category: Continuation
H4 Category: Continuation

Group Equilibrium Context

Group 2 Leader

Current State: Equilibrium-Seeking
Final State: Trending

Agreement Score: 94.4%

Group Alignment: Strong Alignment (+35 pts)
Setup direction aligns with group behavior

Expected Behavior: Trending
Likely Outcome: Group Follows Leaders

Mid Momentum Continuation

LONG

Confidence: 78.0%

Daily Timeframe Context

Phase: Momentum

Phase Alignment: Aligned (+8 pts)

Setup Alignment: Aligned (+14 pts)
Matching: Mid Momentum Continuation

Current Category: Continuation
Daily Category: Continuation

H4 Timeframe Context

Phase: Momentum

Phase Alignment: Aligned (+5 pts)

Setup Alignment: Neutral (+0 pts)

Current Category: Continuation
H4 Category: Continuation

Group Equilibrium Context

Group 2 Leader

Current State: Equilibrium-Seeking
Final State: Trending

Agreement Score: 94.4%

Group Alignment: Strong Alignment (+35 pts)
Setup direction aligns with group behavior

Expected Behavior: Trending
Likely Outcome: Group Follows Leaders