GBP_JPY Analysis

Last: 197.23100 | Change: -0.12100 | Date: 2025-07-04

Phase: Mean Reversion > Early Mean Reversion > Failed Momentum > False Breakout > False Breakout > Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout 80.0%

Market State

Trend: Downtrend (Weak)

RSI: 43.91 (Neutral)

Volume: Stable (High)

Volatility: 0.0930 (Normal)

Price Action: Engulfing

Price Structure: Lower Highs & Lows

Momentum: -0.1210 (Strong)

ATR: 0.1835

NATR: 0.0930

Trend Alignment: No

Enhanced Volume Analysis

Phase Analysis

Current Phase: Mean Reversion > Early Mean Reversion > Failed Momentum > False Breakout

Confidence: 80.0%

Stage: False Breakout

Detail: Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout

Daily Timeframe

Phase: Momentum > Late Momentum > Distribution Phase > Active Distribution

Confidence: 60.0%

Stage: Active Distribution

Description: Strong selling pressure dominates.

Alignment with Current Phase: Significant Conflict (-60 pts)

Current Category: Reversal

Daily Category: Continuation

H4 Timeframe

Phase: Mean Reversion > Mean Reversion Resolution > Transition To New Momentum > Early Signs

Confidence: 100.0%

Stage: Early Signs

Description: Early indications that a new trend is emerging.

Alignment with Current Phase: Aligned (+5 pts)

Current Category: Reversal

H4 Category: Reversal

Market Metrics

Trend: Down (Weak)

RSI: 43.9 (Neutral)

Volume: Stable (High)

Volatility: 0.0930 (High)

Support & Resistance

Current Price: 197.2310

Resistance Levels

Support Levels

196.9080 Strong (0.16% away)