Correlation Group Equilibrium Analysis

Generated on: 2025-06-13 01:21:34

Analysis Summary

This report provides an analysis of whether correlation groups are seeking equilibrium (mean-reverting) versus trending.

A high equilibrium score indicates the group is likely in a mean-reversion phase, suggesting potential reversal trades.

A high trend score indicates the group is likely in a trending phase, suggesting potential trend-following trades.

Total Groups
5
Equilibrium-Seeking Groups
3 (3 pairs)
Trending Groups
2 (34 pairs)

Overall Market Assessment

Current Market Status: Trending

3 pairs (8.1%) show equilibrium-seeking behavior

34 pairs (91.9%) show trending behavior

Group 0 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
48.62
48.62%
Trend Score
50.74
50.74%
Agreement Score
96.3%
Pairs Count
27

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Trending

Divergence Detected: Leaders showing different behavior than the overall group. This may indicate leaders could split away or the group dynamics may change soon.

Final Assessment

High Agreement Group Following Leaders: While currently Equilibrium-Seeking, this group has a very high agreement score (96.3%). Expect the group to follow the leaders and shift toward a Trending state soon.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
USD_SGD 63.19 46.87 Mean Reversion Resolution: Transition to New Momentum - Early Signs Equilibrium-Seeking
USD_HKD 59.85 25.76 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
GBP_JPY 58.69 40.4 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
GBP_AUD 55.56 60.56 Mean Reversion Resolution: Transition to New Momentum - Early Signs Trending
NZD_USD 54.3 44.76 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
NZD_CAD 54.04 40.4 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
CAD_JPY 53.47 46.53 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
AUD_CHF 52.92 41.52 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
USD_SEK 50.0 49.02 Mean Reversion Resolution: Transition to New Momentum - Early Signs Trending
GBP_NZD 50.0 60.56 Mean Reversion Resolution: Transition to New Momentum - Early Signs Trending
EUR_SEK 50.0 50.0 Mean Reversion Resolution: Transition to New Momentum - Early Signs Trending
USD_JPY 49.36 45.09 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
AUD_CAD 48.48 45.96 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
USD_CHF 48.48 46.87 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
CAD_CHF 47.92 46.53 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
NZD_CHF 47.92 46.53 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
AUD_USD 47.8 44.76 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
AUD_JPY 47.37 47.08 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
NZD_JPY 47.37 47.08 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
EUR_JPY 47.22 45.37 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
EUR_CHF 46.84 46.74 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
GBP_CHF 46.84 46.74 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
EUR_AUD 42.22 72.89 Breakout Phase: Initial Break Trending
EUR_NZD 37.5 74.31 Breakout Phase: Initial Break Trending
CHF_JPY 35.9 79.06 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending
USD_ZAR 35.42 64.58 Breakout Phase: Initial Break Trending
USD_MXN 33.97 64.1 Continuation Breakouts: Range Break Trending

Group 1 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
48.06
48.06%
Trend Score
52.94
52.94%
Agreement Score
100.0%
Pairs Count
7

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Trending

Divergence Detected: Leaders showing different behavior than the overall group. This may indicate leaders could split away or the group dynamics may change soon.

Final Assessment

High Agreement Group Following Leaders: While currently Equilibrium-Seeking, this group has a very high agreement score (100.0%). Expect the group to follow the leaders and shift toward a Trending state soon.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
EUR_CAD 54.04 45.96 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
EUR_PLN 52.78 54.86 Mean Reversion Resolution: Transition to New Momentum - Early Signs Trending
GBP_USD 52.53 44.44 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
EUR_USD 48.48 45.96 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
GBP_CAD 47.22 51.85 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
USD_PLN 40.97 66.67 Continuation Breakouts: Range Break Trending
AUD_NZD 40.42 60.83 Breakout Phase: Initial Break Trending

Group 4 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
55.9
55.9%
Trend Score
47.62
47.62%
Agreement Score
100.0%
Pairs Count
1

Dominant Market Phases

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
USD_CAD 55.9 47.62 Active Mean Reversion: Accumulation Leg Trending

Group 3 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
42.59
42.59%
Trend Score
45.37
45.37%
Agreement Score
100.0%
Pairs Count
1

Dominant Market Phases

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
EUR_NOK 42.59 45.37 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending

Group 2 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
30.95
30.95%
Trend Score
74.6
74.6%
Agreement Score
100.0%
Pairs Count
1

Dominant Market Phases

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
EUR_GBP 30.95 74.6 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending