Generated on: 2025-07-11 21:41:05
This report provides an analysis of whether correlation groups are seeking equilibrium (mean-reverting) versus trending.
A high equilibrium score indicates the group is likely in a mean-reversion phase, suggesting potential reversal trades.
A high trend score indicates the group is likely in a trending phase, suggesting potential trend-following trades.
Current Market Status: Equilibrium-Seeking
37 pairs (100.0%) show equilibrium-seeking behavior
0 pairs (0.0%) show trending behavior
Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking
Leaders State: Trending
Divergence Detected: Leaders showing different behavior than the overall group. This may indicate leaders could split away or the group dynamics may change soon.
Moderate Agreement with Divergence: Group is Equilibrium-Seeking with moderate cohesion (78.26%). Some pairs may follow the trending leaders, but the group is likely to maintain its overall equilibrium-seeking character.
| Pair | Equilibrium Score | Trend Score | Dominant Phase | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD_MXN | 65.82 | 28.5 | Transition: Support Test Failure | Equilibrium-Seeking |
| GBP_NZD | 63.19 | 28.82 | Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling | Equilibrium-Seeking |
| AUD_CAD | 61.9 | 26.19 | Mean Reversion Resolution: Transition to New Momentum - Early Signs | Equilibrium-Seeking |
| USD_CHF | 61.9 | 26.19 | Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout | Equilibrium-Seeking |
| USD_CAD | 61.4 | 32.75 | Mean Reversion Resolution: Transition to New Momentum - Early Signs | Equilibrium-Seeking |
| NZD_CAD | 59.85 | 16.92 | Extreme Conditions: Oversold Breakdown | Trending |
| EUR_CHF | 58.09 | 22.95 | Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure | Trending |
| GBP_JPY | 57.22 | 39.22 | Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure | Trending |
| CAD_CHF | 52.22 | 32.22 | Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure | Trending |
| EUR_PLN | 51.11 | 59.44 | Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation | Trending |
| GBP_CAD | 50.67 | 27.11 | Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure | Trending |
| EUR_SEK | 48.07 | 49.64 | Active Mean Reversion: Accumulation Leg | Trending |
| EUR_CAD | 47.78 | 50.0 | Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation | Trending |
| USD_SEK | 44.64 | 58.43 | First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking | Trending |
| EUR_NOK | 43.8 | 40.49 | Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout | Trending |
| AUD_NZD | 43.06 | 59.72 | First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking | Trending |
| NZD_JPY | 39.74 | 64.1 | Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) | Trending |
| CHF_JPY | 38.1 | 67.26 | Breakout Phase: Initial Break | Trending |
| USD_PLN | 37.5 | 54.17 | First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking | Trending |
| EUR_JPY | 37.36 | 69.54 | Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) | Trending |
| USD_JPY | 37.36 | 69.54 | Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) | Trending |
| AUD_JPY | 32.85 | 62.56 | Initial Thrust: Alternative Thrust | Trending |
| CAD_JPY | 30.47 | 58.42 | Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) | Trending |
Important Signal: Leaders are Mixed while the group is Trending
Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking
Leaders State: Mixed
Weakly Aligned Group: While the group and leaders are both equilibrium-seeking, the lower agreement score (66.67%) suggests some pairs may deviate from the group behavior. Monitor for potential splintering.
| Pair | Equilibrium Score | Trend Score | Dominant Phase | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD_HKD | 66.91 | 28.5 | Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling | Equilibrium-Seeking |
| GBP_CHF | 61.78 | 27.11 | Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure | Equilibrium-Seeking |
| GBP_USD | 56.92 | 27.44 | Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure | Trending |
| AUD_CHF | 53.57 | 26.59 | Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure | Trending |
| GBP_AUD | 50.67 | 27.11 | Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure | Trending |
| EUR_GBP | 39.08 | 62.26 | Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation | Trending |
Important Signal: Leaders are Equilibrium-Seeking while the group is Trending
Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking
Leaders State: Equilibrium-Seeking
Weakly Aligned Group: While the group and leaders are both equilibrium-seeking, the lower agreement score (60.0%) suggests some pairs may deviate from the group behavior. Monitor for potential splintering.
| Pair | Equilibrium Score | Trend Score | Dominant Phase | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NZD_USD | 65.47 | 16.37 | Active Mean Reversion: Accumulation Leg | Equilibrium-Seeking |
| NZD_CHF | 65.28 | 35.42 | Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling | Equilibrium-Seeking |
| AUD_USD | 62.61 | 26.28 | Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout | Equilibrium-Seeking |
| EUR_AUD | 48.31 | 52.66 | Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation | Trending |
| EUR_NZD | 36.98 | 51.04 | First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking | Trending |
Important Signal: Leaders are Equilibrium-Seeking while the group is Trending
Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking
Leaders State: Equilibrium-Seeking
Weakly Aligned Group: While the group and leaders are both equilibrium-seeking, the lower agreement score (50.0%) suggests some pairs may deviate from the group behavior. Monitor for potential splintering.
| Pair | Equilibrium Score | Trend Score | Dominant Phase | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD_SGD | 64.81 | 44.44 | Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) | Equilibrium-Seeking |
| USD_ZAR | 44.64 | 60.54 | Breakout Phase: First Resistance Test | Trending |
| Pair | Equilibrium Score | Trend Score | Dominant Phase | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR_USD | 61.99 | 38.13 | Transition: Support Test Failure | Equilibrium-Seeking |