Correlation Group Equilibrium Analysis

Generated on: 2025-04-25 23:18:28

Analysis Summary

This report provides an analysis of whether correlation groups are seeking equilibrium (mean-reverting) versus trending.

A high equilibrium score indicates the group is likely in a mean-reversion phase, suggesting potential reversal trades.

A high trend score indicates the group is likely in a trending phase, suggesting potential trend-following trades.

Total Groups
5
Equilibrium-Seeking Groups
5 (61 pairs)
Trending Groups
0 (0 pairs)

Overall Market Assessment

Current Market Status: Equilibrium-Seeking

61 pairs (100.0%) show equilibrium-seeking behavior

0 pairs (0.0%) show trending behavior

Group 4 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
58.2
58.2%
Trend Score
40.64
40.64%
Agreement Score
58.06%
Pairs Count
31

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Trending

Divergence Detected: Leaders showing different behavior than the overall group. This may indicate leaders could split away or the group dynamics may change soon.

Final Assessment

Low Agreement Group: Despite trending leaders, the low agreement score (58.06%) suggests the group will remain Equilibrium-Seeking. Leaders may eventually split to join trending groups.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
CAD_CHF 78.99 16.43 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Equilibrium-Seeking
NZD_SGD 71.53 29.17 Extreme Conditions: Oversold Breakdown Equilibrium-Seeking
USD_HUF 68.63 27.78 Transition: Support Test Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
AUD_CAD 67.42 34.85 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
USD_CHF 67.36 38.89 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Equilibrium-Seeking
EUR_ZAR 66.99 24.79 Transition: Support Test Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
CHF_HKD 65.82 45.17 Mean Reversion Resolution: Pre-Breakout - Directional Bias Formation Equilibrium-Seeking
EUR_CHF 65.56 33.33 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Equilibrium-Seeking
GBP_CHF 65.28 31.25 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Equilibrium-Seeking
GBP_AUD 65.01 28.13 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
GBP_ZAR 64.78 32.67 Transition: Support Test Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
EUR_HUF 63.35 33.01 Transition: Support Test Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
NZD_HKD 60.27 27.42 Transition: Support Test Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
CHF_ZAR 59.43 27.39 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Trending
SGD_CHF 59.18 39.61 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Trending
USD_MXN 58.96 30.95 Transition: Support Test Failure Trending
NZD_CHF 58.09 35.14 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Trending
USD_HKD 57.64 28.82 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Trending
AUD_HKD 56.5 47.75 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
AUD_NZD 55.9 40.59 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
USD_ZAR 55.88 32.26 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Trending
AUD_USD 54.52 48.97 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
GBP_NZD 54.3 57.71 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
AUD_SGD 50.19 60.54 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
EUR_NOK 49.05 57.05 Initial Thrust: Alternative Thrust Trending
NZD_USD 49.02 38.89 Early Mean Reversion: False Breakout Trending
CHF_JPY 45.56 66.67 Breakout Phase: Initial Break Trending
EUR_SEK 44.64 62.26 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
USD_SEK 43.89 68.33 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
AUD_JPY 41.58 52.87 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending
ZAR_JPY 38.89 61.11 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending

Group 0 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
54.6
54.6%
Trend Score
52.48
52.48%
Agreement Score
69.23%
Pairs Count
13

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Important Signal: Leaders are Mixed while the group is Trending

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Mixed

Final Assessment

Weakly Aligned Group: While the group and leaders are both equilibrium-seeking, the lower agreement score (69.23%) suggests some pairs may deviate from the group behavior. Monitor for potential splintering.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
EUR_GBP 65.56 37.78 Mean Reversion Resolution: Pre-Breakout - Directional Bias Formation Equilibrium-Seeking
USD_CAD 63.95 34.75 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Equilibrium-Seeking
AUD_CHF 63.19 40.97 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
GBP_CAD 61.81 38.89 Mid-Trend: Bearish Flag Formation Equilibrium-Seeking
NZD_JPY 58.33 48.81 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
CAD_HKD 53.97 50.79 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
GBP_JPY 53.03 57.07 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending
CAD_SGD 50.85 60.47 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
EUR_JPY 49.65 60.59 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending
HKD_JPY 48.75 61.65 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
USD_JPY 48.75 67.2 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
SGD_JPY 48.75 61.65 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
CAD_JPY 43.19 61.65 Steady Trend: Higher Highs/Lows (Uptrend) Trending

Group 2 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
59.89
59.89%
Trend Score
47.4
47.4%
Agreement Score
50.0%
Pairs Count
12

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Important Signal: Leaders are Mixed while the group is Trending

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Mixed

Final Assessment

Weakly Aligned Group: While the group and leaders are both equilibrium-seeking, the lower agreement score (50.0%) suggests some pairs may deviate from the group behavior. Monitor for potential splintering.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
EUR_CAD 70.83 28.82 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Equilibrium-Seeking
NZD_CAD 70.83 27.78 Distribution to Range: Controlled Selling Equilibrium-Seeking
USD_CNH 63.65 44.08 Mean Reversion Resolution: Pre-Breakout - Directional Bias Formation Equilibrium-Seeking
GBP_HKD 62.22 48.89 Transition to Mean Reversion: Loss of Momentum Equilibrium-Seeking
USD_SGD 62.1 58.13 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Equilibrium-Seeking
GBP_PLN 60.68 39.53 Mid-Trend: Bearish Flag Formation Equilibrium-Seeking
GBP_USD 58.97 41.88 First Pullback/Retest: Profit Taking Trending
EUR_PLN 58.13 24.53 Active Mean Reversion: Accumulation Leg Trending
GBP_SGD 55.56 62.96 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
EUR_USD 53.97 61.11 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
EUR_HKD 52.78 63.19 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
EUR_SGD 48.93 67.95 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending

Group 1 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
54.62
54.62%
Trend Score
44.49
44.49%
Agreement Score
75.0%
Pairs Count
4

Dominant Market Phases

Leaders and Potential Direction

Important Signal: Leaders are Equilibrium-Seeking while the group is Trending

Group State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Leaders State: Equilibrium-Seeking

Final Assessment

Moderately Aligned Group: This Equilibrium-Seeking group shows good cohesion (75.0%) with aligned leaders. The equilibrium-seeking pattern should persist in the near term.

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
EUR_NZD 64.29 42.86 Mean Reversion Resolution: Pre-Breakout - Directional Bias Formation Equilibrium-Seeking
USD_PLN 59.18 28.5 Early Mean Reversion: Volume Failure Trending
EUR_AUD 47.8 43.41 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending
USD_NOK 47.22 63.19 Mid-Trend: Bullish Flag Formation Trending

Group 3 Analysis: Equilibrium-Seeking

Equilibrium Score
66.67
66.67%
Trend Score
37.04
37.04%
Agreement Score
100.0%
Pairs Count
1

Dominant Market Phases

Currency Pairs Analysis

Pair Equilibrium Score Trend Score Dominant Phase State
USD_THB 66.67 37.04 Mid-Trend: Bearish Flag Formation Equilibrium-Seeking